As a socially liberal person, my biggest fear was that the
Muslim Brotherhood would succeed in gaining popularity on the ground which they
will later on use as a basis to limit freedoms and abolish democracy. I thought
that they would in the first 100 days take a number of populous decisions
designed only to increase their approval and give them the necessary grounds.
After those first 3 months, I realized that the MB were somewhere else altogether.
It became obvious to me that Morsi put little or no weight on his popularity.
The MB were only interested in gaining control of the state, even at the
expense of their approval ratings. It is pretty much the same strategy they’ve
always used, a series of quick actions without a global plan. They move from
stage to the next and then improvise. So far, it seems to have worked for them
but can they sustain this strategy for long?
Many people would like to think that the MB will eventually
crash. But I think that there might be another scenario.The first scenario, which predicts that MB will fall in the
near future, is based on the following assumptions:
